Wiener Process Moment 909Cbd
1. **Problem Statement:** We want to verify the expression for the fourth moment of a Wiener process $W_t$, specifically the expectation $\mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_2} W_{t_3} W_{t_4}]$.
2. **Background:** A Wiener process is a Gaussian process with mean zero and covariance $\mathbb{E}[W_s W_t] = \min(s,t)$. For Gaussian processes, the fourth moment can be expressed in terms of second moments using Isserlis' (or Wick's) theorem:
$$
\mathbb{E}[X_1 X_2 X_3 X_4] = \mathbb{E}[X_1 X_2] \mathbb{E}[X_3 X_4] + \mathbb{E}[X_1 X_3] \mathbb{E}[X_2 X_4] + \mathbb{E}[X_1 X_4] \mathbb{E}[X_2 X_3]
$$
3. **Apply to Wiener Process:** Using $X_i = W_{t_i}$, we have
$$
\mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_2} W_{t_3} W_{t_4}] = \mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_2}] \mathbb{E}[W_{t_3} W_{t_4}] + \mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_3}] \mathbb{E}[W_{t_2} W_{t_4}] + \mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_4}] \mathbb{E}[W_{t_2} W_{t_3}]
$$
4. **Covariance Values:** Since $\mathbb{E}[W_s W_t] = \min(s,t)$, assuming $t_1 \leq t_2 \leq t_3 \leq t_4$, we get
$$
\mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_2}] = t_1, \quad \mathbb{E}[W_{t_3} W_{t_4}] = t_3, \quad \mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_3}] = t_1, \quad \mathbb{E}[W_{t_2} W_{t_4}] = t_2, \quad \mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_4}] = t_1, \quad \mathbb{E}[W_{t_2} W_{t_3}] = t_2
$$
5. **Substitute and Simplify:**
$$
\begin{aligned}
\mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_2} W_{t_3} W_{t_4}] &= t_1 t_3 + t_1 t_2 + t_1 t_2 \\
&= t_1 t_3 + 2 t_1 t_2
\end{aligned}
$$
6. **Check Your Expression:** The expression you wrote,
$$
\mathbb{E}[W_{t_1} W_{t_2} W_{t_3} W_{t_4}] = t_2 t_4 + 2 t_3 t_4
$$
does not match the correct form based on the covariance structure. The indices and minimums must be carefully considered.
**Summary:** Your approach using the sum of products of covariances is correct in principle, but the final substitution and simplification of terms need to respect the covariance $\min(t_i, t_j)$. The final formula should be expressed in terms of these minimums, not just products of $t_i t_j$ without ordering.
Hence, the reasoning makes sense, but the final numeric expression needs correction based on the ordering of $t_i$ and the covariance definition.