Sample Mean Probability D2D9De
1. **Problem statement:** We have fried chicken dinners with mean weight $\mu=48.0$ hectograms and standard deviation $\sigma=2.4$ hectograms. We take a random sample of size $n=100$. We want to find probabilities for the sample mean $\bar{X}$:
(a) $P(\bar{X} < 47.6)$
(b) $P(\bar{X} > 47.8)$
(c) $P(47.5 < \bar{X} < 48.5)$
2. **Formula and rules:** The sampling distribution of the sample mean $\bar{X}$ is approximately normal with mean $\mu_{\bar{X}}=\mu=48.0$ and standard deviation (standard error) $\sigma_{\bar{X}}=\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}=\frac{2.4}{\sqrt{100}}=0.24$.
3. **Convert to standard normal variable $Z$:**
$$Z=\frac{\bar{X}-\mu}{\sigma_{\bar{X}}}$$
4. **Calculate probabilities:**
(a) For $\bar{X} < 47.6$:
$$Z=\frac{47.6-48.0}{0.24} = \frac{-0.4}{0.24} = -1.67$$
Using standard normal tables or calculator:
$$P(Z < -1.67) \approx 0.0475$$
(b) For $\bar{X} > 47.8$:
$$Z=\frac{47.8-48.0}{0.24} = \frac{-0.2}{0.24} = -0.83$$
$$P(Z > -0.83) = 1 - P(Z \leq -0.83) = 1 - 0.2033 = 0.7967$$
(c) For $47.5 < \bar{X} < 48.5$:
Calculate $Z$ for both bounds:
$$Z_1=\frac{47.5-48.0}{0.24} = -2.08$$
$$Z_2=\frac{48.5-48.0}{0.24} = 2.08$$
Probability:
$$P(-2.08 < Z < 2.08) = P(Z < 2.08) - P(Z < -2.08) = 0.9812 - 0.0188 = 0.9624$$
**Final answers:**
(a) $0.0475$
(b) $0.7967$
(c) $0.9624$