Sample Mean Probability 227Da7
1. **Problem statement:** We have fried chicken dinners with mean weight $\mu = 48.0$ hectograms and standard deviation $\sigma = 2.4$ hectograms. We take a random sample of size $n = 100$. We want to find probabilities for the sample mean $\bar{x}$:
(a) $P(\bar{x} < 47.6)$
(b) $P(\bar{x} > 47.8)$
(c) $P(47.5 < \bar{x} < 48.5)$
2. **Formula and rules:** The sampling distribution of the sample mean $\bar{x}$ is approximately normal with mean $\mu$ and standard deviation $\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}$.
3. Calculate the standard error:
$$\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{2.4}{\sqrt{100}} = \frac{2.4}{10} = 0.24$$
4. Convert each sample mean to a $z$-score using:
$$z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}}$$
5. (a) For $\bar{x} = 47.6$:
$$z = \frac{47.6 - 48.0}{0.24} = \frac{-0.4}{0.24} = -1.67$$
Find $P(z < -1.67)$ from standard normal table or calculator:
$$P(z < -1.67) \approx 0.0475$$
6. (b) For $\bar{x} = 47.8$:
$$z = \frac{47.8 - 48.0}{0.24} = \frac{-0.2}{0.24} = -0.83$$
Find $P(z > -0.83)$:
$$P(z > -0.83) = 1 - P(z < -0.83)$$
From table, $P(z < -0.83) \approx 0.2033$, so
$$P(z > -0.83) = 1 - 0.2033 = 0.7967$$
7. (c) For $47.5 < \bar{x} < 48.5$:
Calculate $z$ for 47.5:
$$z_1 = \frac{47.5 - 48.0}{0.24} = \frac{-0.5}{0.24} = -2.08$$
Calculate $z$ for 48.5:
$$z_2 = \frac{48.5 - 48.0}{0.24} = \frac{0.5}{0.24} = 2.08$$
Find $P(-2.08 < z < 2.08)$:
From table, $P(z < 2.08) \approx 0.9812$ and $P(z < -2.08) \approx 0.0188$
So,
$$P(-2.08 < z < 2.08) = 0.9812 - 0.0188 = 0.9624$$
**Final answers:**
(a) $0.0475$
(b) $0.7967$
(c) $0.9624$