Sample Mean Probability 06Dc57
1. **State the problem:** We have a sample of size $n=25$ from a normal population with mean $\mu=4$ and standard deviation $\sigma=2$. We want to find the probability that the sample mean $\bar{X}$ is less than 5.
2. **Formula and rules:** The sampling distribution of the sample mean $\bar{X}$ is normal with mean $\mu_{\bar{X}} = \mu$ and standard deviation (standard error) $\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}$.
3. **Calculate the standard error:**
$$\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{2}{\sqrt{25}} = \frac{2}{5} = 0.4$$
4. **Find the z-score for $\bar{X} = 5$:**
$$z = \frac{5 - 4}{0.4} = \frac{1}{0.4} = 2.5$$
5. **Find the probability $P(\bar{X} < 5)$:** This is the same as $P(Z < 2.5)$ for a standard normal distribution.
6. **Use standard normal tables or calculator:**
$$P(Z < 2.5) = 0.9938$$
**Final answer:** The probability that the sample mean is less than 5 is **0.9938**.