Protein Supplement Test
1. **State the problem:**
A nutritionist claims the new protein supplement increases average muscle mass gain compared to the standard supplement, whose mean gain is $\mu_0=3.0$ kg with known population standard deviation $\sigma=0.4$ kg.
2. **i) Hypotheses:**
- Null hypothesis: $H_0: \mu = 3.0$ (new supplement does not increase gain)
- Alternative hypothesis: $H_a: \mu > 3.0$ (new supplement increases gain)
3. **ii) Test statistic:**
Calculate sample mean $\bar{x}$ from data: 3.1, 2.9, 3.6, 3.3, 3.8, 3.4, 3.0, 3.7, 3.5, 3.2, 3.9, 3.6
$$\bar{x} = \frac{3.1+2.9+3.6+3.3+3.8+3.4+3.0+3.7+3.5+3.2+3.9+3.6}{12} = \frac{41.0}{12} \approx 3.417$$
Use z-test since $\sigma$ known:
$$z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{3.417 - 3.0}{0.4/\sqrt{12}} = \frac{0.417}{0.1155} \approx 3.61$$
At 5% significance level, critical z-value for one-tailed test is approximately 1.645.
Since $3.61 > 1.645$, **reject** the null hypothesis.
4. **iii) p-value:**
Find p-value for $z=3.61$ in standard normal distribution:
$$p \approx P(Z > 3.61) = 1 - P(Z \leq 3.61) \approx 1 - 0.99984 = 0.00016$$
Interpretation: p-value is very small (0.00016 < 0.05), strong evidence against $H_0$, supporting that new supplement increases mean muscle mass gain.
5. **iv) Errors context:**
- Type I error: Rejecting $H_0$ when it is true, i.e., concluding new supplement increases gain when it actually does not.
- Type II error: Failing to reject $H_0$ when it is false, i.e., not detecting an increase in gain when the new supplement truly increases muscle mass.