Normal Distribution 23Ba03
1. **Problem statement:** We have delivery times normally distributed with mean $\mu=5$ days and standard deviation $\sigma=1.2$ days.
2. **Formula and rules:** For a normal distribution, we use the standard normal variable $Z=\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}$ to find probabilities from standard normal tables or a calculator.
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**a. Percentage of orders delivered in less than 4 days:**
3. Calculate $Z$ for $X=4$:
$$Z=\frac{4-5}{1.2} = \frac{-1}{1.2} = -0.8333$$
4. Find $P(X<4) = P(Z < -0.8333)$ using standard normal distribution.
5. From standard normal tables or calculator, $P(Z < -0.8333) \approx 0.2023$.
6. So, about 20.23% of orders are delivered in less than 4 days.
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**b. Proportion of orders delivered between 4 and 6 days:**
7. Calculate $Z$ for $X=6$:
$$Z=\frac{6-5}{1.2} = \frac{1}{1.2} = 0.8333$$
8. Find $P(4 < X < 6) = P(-0.8333 < Z < 0.8333)$.
9. Using symmetry and tables:
$$P(Z < 0.8333) \approx 0.7977$$
$$P(Z < -0.8333) \approx 0.2023$$
10. So,
$$P(-0.8333 < Z < 0.8333) = 0.7977 - 0.2023 = 0.5954$$
11. About 59.54% of orders take between 4 and 6 days.
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**c. Delivery time threshold for 95% of orders:**
12. We want $P(X \leq x) = 0.95$.
13. Find $Z$ such that $P(Z \leq z) = 0.95$.
14. From standard normal tables, $z_{0.95} \approx 1.645$.
15. Convert back to $X$:
$$x = \mu + z \sigma = 5 + 1.645 \times 1.2 = 5 + 1.974 = 6.974$$
16. So, the company should guarantee delivery within about 6.97 days to cover 95% of orders.