Lower Confidence Bound A2989C
1. **State the problem:** We have a sample of 25 glass bottles with sample mean $\bar{x} = 4.05$ mm and sample standard deviation $s = 0.08$ mm. We want to find a 95% lower confidence bound for the population mean wall thickness, assuming normal distribution.
2. **Formula and explanation:** For a normally distributed population with unknown variance, the lower confidence bound for the mean is given by:
$$\text{Lower bound} = \bar{x} - t_{\alpha, n-1} \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}$$
where:
- $\bar{x}$ is the sample mean
- $s$ is the sample standard deviation
- $n$ is the sample size
- $t_{\alpha, n-1}$ is the t-score from the t-distribution with $n-1$ degrees of freedom corresponding to the confidence level
3. **Identify parameters:**
- $n = 25$
- Degrees of freedom $df = 24$
- Confidence level = 95%, so $\alpha = 0.05$
- For a lower bound, we use the $t$ value for $1 - \alpha = 0.95$ quantile
4. **Find the t-score:**
From t-distribution tables or calculator, $t_{0.05, 24} \approx 1.7109$
5. **Calculate the margin of error:**
$$\text{ME} = t_{0.05, 24} \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 1.7109 \times \frac{0.08}{\sqrt{25}} = 1.7109 \times 0.016 = 0.02737$$
6. **Calculate the lower confidence bound:**
$$\text{Lower bound} = 4.05 - 0.02737 = 4.02263$$
7. **Interpretation:** We are 95% confident that the true mean wall thickness is at least approximately 4.023 millimeters.
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{4.02 \text{ millimeters (rounded to two decimals)}}$$