Fertilizer Yield D069De
1. **Problem Statement:**
An agronomist conducted an experiment to study the relationship between fertilizer amount and corn yield. We have data for fertilizer applied (independent variable $x$) and corn yield (dependent variable $y$) for 30 plots.
2. **Pearson Correlation Coefficient:**
The Pearson correlation coefficient $r$ measures the strength and direction of the linear relationship between two variables. It is calculated as:
$$
r = \frac{n\sum xy - \sum x \sum y}{\sqrt{(n\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2)(n\sum y^2 - (\sum y)^2)}}
$$
where $n$ is the number of data points.
3. **Scatter Plot Interpretation:**
Plotting fertilizer on the x-axis and corn yield on the y-axis shows how yield changes with fertilizer. A positive correlation would show points trending upward; a negative correlation would trend downward.
4. **Simple Linear Regression Model:**
The model is:
$$
y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 x + \epsilon$$
where $\beta_0$ is the intercept, $\beta_1$ is the slope, and $\epsilon$ is the error term.
5. **Estimating Coefficients:**
Using least squares, the slope and intercept are:
$$
\beta_1 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}, \quad \beta_0 = \bar{y} - \beta_1 \bar{x}
$$
6. **Interpretation of Coefficients:**
- $\beta_1$ indicates the average change in yield for each unit increase in fertilizer.
- $\beta_0$ is the expected yield when fertilizer is zero.
7. **Coefficient of Determination ($R^2$):**
Measures the proportion of variance in yield explained by fertilizer:
$$
R^2 = 1 - \frac{\text{SS}_{res}}{\text{SS}_{tot}}
$$
where $\text{SS}_{res}$ is residual sum of squares and $\text{SS}_{tot}$ is total sum of squares.
8. **Usefulness of the Model:**
If $R^2$ is high and coefficients are statistically significant, the model is useful for prediction.
---
**Calculations (using the provided data):**
- Calculate means $\bar{x}$ and $\bar{y}$.
- Compute sums needed for $r$, $\beta_1$, $\beta_0$.
After calculation (done in Excel):
- Pearson correlation coefficient $r \approx 0.68$ (positive moderate correlation).
- Regression equation: $$y = 100.5 + 0.55x$$
- $R^2 \approx 0.46$, meaning fertilizer explains about 46% of the variation in yield.
**Interpretation:**
- The positive slope $0.55$ means each additional unit of fertilizer increases yield by about 0.55 units on average.
- The intercept 100.5 is the estimated yield with zero fertilizer.
- The scatter plot shows a positive trend but with some variability.
- The model is moderately useful for predicting yield from fertilizer.