Binomial Probabilities Aa56D5
1. **Problem:** A student is taking a multiple choice test with 5 questions, each having 4 possible answers. Find the following probabilities:
a. Probability of getting only the first question correct.
b. Probability of getting any one question correct.
c. Probability of getting all questions correct.
2. **Formula and rules:**
For binomial probability, the formula is:
$$P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$$
where:
- $n$ = number of trials (questions),
- $k$ = number of successes (correct answers),
- $p$ = probability of success on a single trial,
- $\binom{n}{k}$ = number of combinations of $n$ items taken $k$ at a time.
3. **Step-by-step solutions:**
a. Probability of getting only the first question correct means:
- First question correct: $p = \frac{1}{4}$
- Other 4 questions incorrect: $1-p = \frac{3}{4}$
Since only the first is correct and the rest are incorrect, the probability is:
$$P = \frac{1}{4} \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{81}{256} = \frac{81}{1024} \approx 0.0791$$
b. Probability of getting any one question correct means exactly one correct out of five questions, but the correct one can be any of the five questions. So $k=1$, $n=5$, $p=\frac{1}{4}$:
$$P(X=1) = \binom{5}{1} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^1 \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^4 = 5 \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{81}{256} = \frac{405}{1024} \approx 0.3955$$
c. Probability of getting all questions correct means $k=5$:
$$P(X=5) = \binom{5}{5} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^5 \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^0 = 1 \times \frac{1}{1024} \times 1 = \frac{1}{1024} \approx 0.00098$$
4. **Explanation:**
- For part a, since only the first question is correct and the rest are wrong, we multiply the probability of first correct by the probability of the rest wrong.
- For part b, since any one question can be correct, we use the binomial coefficient to count all possible positions.
- For part c, all must be correct, so the probability is the product of $p$ for all 5 questions.
**Final answers:**
- a. $\approx 0.0791$
- b. $\approx 0.3955$
- c. $\approx 0.00098$