Bent Rods Distribution
1. **Stating the problem:**
We have a random variable $X$ denoting the number of bent rods in a sample of 400 rods. Each rod has a 1.2% chance of being bent.
2. **(i) Distribution of $X$:**
$X$ follows a binomial distribution because we have a fixed number of independent trials (rods), each with the same probability of 'success' (being bent).
So, $$X \sim \text{Binomial}(n=400, p=0.012).$$
3. **(ii) Suitable approximate distribution:**
Since $n=400$ is large and $p=0.012$ is small, the binomial distribution can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $$\lambda = np = 400 \times 0.012 = 4.8.$$
This is suitable because $n$ is large and $p$ is small making $np$ moderate.
So, $$X \approx \text{Poisson}(\lambda=4.8).$$
4. **(iii) Probability that more than 2 rods are bent:**
We want $$P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X \leq 2) = 1 - [\!P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2)].$$
In the Poisson distribution,
$$P(X=k) = \frac{e^{-\lambda} \lambda^k}{k!}.$$
Calculate:
- $$P(X=0) = e^{-4.8} \frac{4.8^0}{0!} = e^{-4.8}.$$
- $$P(X=1) = e^{-4.8} \frac{4.8^1}{1!} = 4.8 e^{-4.8}.$$
- $$P(X=2) = e^{-4.8} \frac{4.8^2}{2!} = \frac{4.8^2}{2} e^{-4.8} = 11.52 e^{-4.8}.$$
Sum:
$$P(X \leq 2) = e^{-4.8} (1 + 4.8 + 11.52) = e^{-4.8} \times 17.32.$$
Using $e^{-4.8} \approx 0.00823$,
$$P(X \leq 2) \approx 0.00823 \times 17.32 = 0.1425.$$
Therefore,
$$P(X > 2) = 1 - 0.1425 = 0.8575.$$
**Final answer:** The probability that more than 2 rods are bent is approximately **0.8575** or **85.75%**.