Lease Rent Advice Dd0930
1. **Problem Statement:**
TM Supermarkets currently have a lease with 3 years remaining at a rent of 220000 per annum. The market rent is 270000 per annum, and the landlord wants to grant a new 10-year lease with 5-year rent reviews. We need to advise on an acceptable rent level if the current lease is surrendered and a new lease granted.
2. **Key Information and Assumptions:**
- Current lease rent: $220000$ p.a. with 3 years left, no review.
- Market rent: $270000$ p.a.
- New lease term: 10 years with rent reviews every 5 years.
- Capitalisation rate for freehold interests: $10\%$.
- Rent reviews imply rent can adjust to market rent every 5 years.
3. **Valuation from Landlord's Perspective:**
The landlord values the lease based on the present value of future rents.
- Present lease value (3 years at $220000$):
$$PV_{current} = 220000 \times \frac{1 - (1+0.10)^{-3}}{0.10}$$
Calculate:
$$PV_{current} = 220000 \times \frac{1 - (1.10)^{-3}}{0.10} = 220000 \times 2.4869 = 547118$$
- New lease value (10 years with rent reviews at year 5):
Assuming rent is $R$ for first 5 years and adjusts to market rent $270000$ for next 5 years.
Present value of first 5 years at rent $R$:
$$PV_1 = R \times \frac{1 - (1+0.10)^{-5}}{0.10} = R \times 3.7908$$
Present value of next 5 years at $270000$ discounted back 5 years:
$$PV_2 = 270000 \times \frac{1 - (1+0.10)^{-5}}{0.10} \times (1+0.10)^{-5} = 270000 \times 3.7908 \times 0.6209 = 636000$$
Total present value of new lease:
$$PV_{new} = PV_1 + PV_2 = 3.7908 R + 636000$$
4. **Valuation from Tenant's Perspective:**
The tenant currently pays $220000$ p.a. for 3 years, then market rent $270000$ p.a. thereafter.
Present value of current lease and market rent after 3 years:
- Value of current lease (3 years at $220000$): same as landlord, $547118$.
- Value of market rent from year 4 to 10 (7 years at $270000$):
$$PV_{market} = 270000 \times \frac{1 - (1+0.10)^{-7}}{0.10} \times (1+0.10)^{-3} = 270000 \times 4.8684 \times 0.7513 = 987000$$
Total value to tenant:
$$PV_{tenant} = 547118 + 987000 = 1,534,118$$
5. **Determining Acceptable Rent $R$ for New Lease:**
The landlord wants the new lease value to be at least equal to the current lease value plus the value of the market rent after 3 years (tenant's perspective), so:
$$3.7908 R + 636000 \geq 1,534,118$$
Solve for $R$:
$$3.7908 R \geq 1,534,118 - 636,000 = 898,118$$
$$R \geq \frac{898,118}{3.7908} = 236,900$$
6. **Recommended Course of Action:**
- The landlord should set the initial rent $R$ at approximately $236,900$ per annum for the first 5 years.
- This rent is higher than the current $220,000$ but lower than the market rent $270,000$, reflecting a fair compromise.
- Rent reviews every 5 years ensure rent aligns with market conditions, protecting landlord's income.
- Assumptions include stable market rent and capitalisation rate.
This approach balances landlord's income expectations and tenant's ability to pay, making the lease attractive and fair.