Probability White Even
1. **State the problem:** We have three bags A, B, and C with red and white counters. Ratios and counts are given, and counters are moved between bags. We want the probability that the number of white counters in bag C is even after these moves.
2. **Given data:**
- Bag A: red:white ratio = 7:3 (total counters unknown, but ratio suffices for probability)
- Bag B: 2 red, 9 white counters
- Bag C: 4 red, 11 white counters
3. **Step 1: Probability of drawing a red or white counter from bag A**
- Total counters in A = 7 + 3 = 10
- Probability red from A = $\frac{7}{10}$
- Probability white from A = $\frac{3}{10}$
4. **Step 2: After moving one counter from A to B, update counts in B**
- If red moved: B has 3 red, 9 white
- If white moved: B has 2 red, 10 white
5. **Step 3: Probability of drawing red or white from updated B**
- Case 1 (red moved from A): total in B = 3 + 9 = 12
- $P(\text{red from B}) = \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4}$
- $P(\text{white from B}) = \frac{9}{12} = \frac{3}{4}$
- Case 2 (white moved from A): total in B = 2 + 10 = 12
- $P(\text{red from B}) = \frac{2}{12} = \frac{1}{6}$
- $P(\text{white from B}) = \frac{10}{12} = \frac{5}{6}$
6. **Step 4: Update counts in C after moving one counter from B to C**
- Original C: 4 red, 11 white
- We want the probability that white counters in C are even after adding one counter from B.
7. **Step 5: Analyze parity of white counters in C**
- Initial white counters in C = 11 (odd)
- Adding a red counter does not change white count (remains 11, odd)
- Adding a white counter increases white count by 1, making it 12 (even)
8. **Step 6: Calculate total probability that white counters in C are even**
- Probability white counters in C even = sum over all paths where a white counter is added to C
9. **Step 7: Calculate combined probabilities**
- Path 1: A red, then B white
- $P = P(\text{red from A}) \times P(\text{white from B} | \text{red from A}) = \frac{7}{10} \times \frac{3}{4} = \frac{21}{40}$
- Path 2: A white, then B white
- $P = P(\text{white from A}) \times P(\text{white from B} | \text{white from A}) = \frac{3}{10} \times \frac{5}{6} = \frac{15}{60} = \frac{1}{4}$
10. **Step 8: Sum probabilities for white counter added to C**
$$\frac{21}{40} + \frac{1}{4} = \frac{21}{40} + \frac{10}{40} = \frac{31}{40}$$
11. **Final answer:** The probability that the number of white counters in bag C is even after the moves is $\boxed{\frac{31}{40}}$ or 0.775.