Probability Urn Dice
1. The problem states: An urn contains 12 white, 5 yellow, and 13 black marbles. A marble is chosen at random and it is known it is not black.
Step 1: Find the sample space given the marble is not black.
Total marbles not black = 12 (white) + 5 (yellow) = 17
Sample space = \{white, yellow\}
Step 2: Find the probability the marble is yellow given it is not black.
Probability(yellow) = number of yellow marbles / total non-black marbles = $\frac{5}{17}$
2. The problem: Two fair dice are rolled.
a. Probability space:
Each die has 6 faces; total outcomes = $6 \times 6 = 36$
b. Probability sum is 7:
The pairs that sum to 7: (1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1) = 6 outcomes
Probability = $\frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6}$
c. Probability both dice show 2:
Only one outcome: (2,2)
Probability = $\frac{1}{36}$
3. The problem: In a city, coffee drinkers = 65%, tea drinkers = 50%, both = 25%.
Step 1: Calculate probability drinking at least one (coffee or tea):
Using inclusion-exclusion:
$$ P(C \cup T) = P(C) + P(T) - P(C \cap T) = 0.65 + 0.5 - 0.25 = 0.9 $$
Step 2: Probability drinking neither coffee nor tea:
$$ 1 - P(C \cup T) = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1 $$
Final answers:
1. Sample space is the set of non-black marbles: white and yellow (17 total).
Probability yellow given non-black = $\frac{5}{17}$.
2a. Total outcomes rolling two dice = 36.
2b. Probability sum is 7 = $\frac{1}{6}$.
2c. Probability both dice show 2 = $\frac{1}{36}$.
3a. Probability drinks at least one (coffee or tea) = 0.9.
3b. Probability drinks neither = 0.1.