Probability Tree Venn
1. **Problem 1: Drawing a tree diagram and finding probabilities for card suits**
- A deck has 52 cards, 13 cards per suit (hearts, clubs, diamonds, spades).
- Cards are drawn without replacement.
**Tree diagram explanation:**
- First draw: 4 branches (hearts, clubs, diamonds, spades), each with probability $\frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4}$.
- Second draw: depends on first draw, 51 cards left.
**Probabilities:**
(i) Both cards are hearts:
$$P(\text{heart}_1 \cap \text{heart}_2) = \frac{13}{52} \times \frac{12}{51} = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{12}{51} = \frac{12}{204} = \frac{1}{17} \approx 0.0588$$
(ii) Both cards are clubs (same as hearts):
$$P(\text{club}_1 \cap \text{club}_2) = \frac{13}{52} \times \frac{12}{51} = \frac{1}{17} \approx 0.0588$$
(iii) First card red (hearts or diamonds), second card black (clubs or spades):
- Red cards total 26, black cards total 26.
$$P(\text{red}_1 \cap \text{black}_2) = \frac{26}{52} \times \frac{26}{51} = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{26}{51} = \frac{26}{102} = \frac{13}{51} \approx 0.2549$$
(iv) Both cards hearts given first card is heart:
$$P(\text{heart}_2 | \text{heart}_1) = \frac{12}{51} \approx 0.2353$$
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2. **Problem 2: Tree diagram for drawing letters A, B, C, D without replacement and probabilities**
- Letters: A, B, C, D.
- Draw 3 letters in sequence without replacement.
**Tree diagram:**
- First draw: 4 options.
- Second draw: 3 options.
- Third draw: 2 options.
**Probabilities:**
(i) Spell "CAD":
$$P = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{24} \approx 0.0417$$
(ii) Spell "BAD":
$$P = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{24} \approx 0.0417$$
(iii) Spell "DAD":
- Impossible because only one D tile.
$$P = 0$$
(iv) Probability of not drawing letter B in 3 draws:
- Letters without B: A, C, D (3 letters).
- Number of ways to draw 3 letters without B is permutations of these 3 letters: $3! = 6$.
- Total number of 3-letter sequences from 4 letters: $4 \times 3 \times 2 = 24$.
$$P = \frac{6}{24} = \frac{1}{4} = 0.25$$
(v) Probability letters drawn in alphabetical order (A, B, C, D):
- Total permutations: 24.
- Only one sequence is strictly alphabetical (A then B then C or D, but only 3 draws).
- For 3 draws, alphabetical sequences are those where letters are in ascending order.
- Number of 3-letter ascending sequences from 4 letters is $\binom{4}{3} = 4$.
- Each sequence has probability $\frac{1}{24}$.
$$P = \frac{4}{24} = \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.1667$$
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3. **Problem 3: Venn diagram for coffee and tea preferences in 25 people**
- Total people: 25
- Like coffee (C): 15
- Like tea (T): 17
- Like neither: 2
**Calculate intersection:**
$$|C \cup T| = 25 - 2 = 23$$
$$|C \cup T| = |C| + |T| - |C \cap T|$$
$$23 = 15 + 17 - |C \cap T|$$
$$|C \cap T| = 15 + 17 - 23 = 9$$
**Probabilities:**
(a) Like coffee:
$$P(C) = \frac{15}{25} = 0.6$$
(b) Like coffee given like tea:
$$P(C|T) = \frac{|C \cap T|}{|T|} = \frac{9}{17} \approx 0.5294$$
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4. **Problem 4: Venn diagram for coding and animation at computer camp**
- Total teenagers: 100
- Learned coding: 80
- Learned animation: 42
- Each did at least one activity
**Calculate both activities:**
$$|C \cup A| = 100$$
$$|C \cup A| = |C| + |A| - |C \cap A|$$
$$100 = 80 + 42 - |C \cap A|$$
$$|C \cap A| = 80 + 42 - 100 = 22$$
**Probabilities:**
(i) Learned coding but not animation:
$$|C \setminus A| = |C| - |C \cap A| = 80 - 22 = 58$$
$$P = \frac{58}{100} = 0.58$$
(ii) Learned animation given learned coding:
$$P(A|C) = \frac{|C \cap A|}{|C|} = \frac{22}{80} = 0.275$$
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5. **Problem 5: Probability from device preference table**
| Device | School A | School B |
|-----------------|----------|----------|
| Smartphone | 52 | 48 |
| Gaming console | 37 | 23 |
| PC | 48 | 35 |
**Totals:**
- Total students = 52+48+37+23+48+35 = 243
(a) Probability prefers gaming console:
$$P = \frac{37 + 23}{243} = \frac{60}{243} \approx 0.247$$
(b) Given gaming console, probability from School A:
$$P(A|\text{console}) = \frac{37}{60} \approx 0.617$$
(c) Probability student from School A prefers PC:
- Total School A students = 52 + 37 + 48 = 137
$$P = \frac{48}{137} \approx 0.350$$
(d) Probability student who prefers smartphone or console attends School B:
- Smartphone or console total = (52+48) + (37+23) = 100 + 60 = 160
- School B smartphone or console = 48 + 23 = 71
$$P = \frac{71}{160} = 0.444$$