Probability Tree Fc2399
1. **State the problem:**
We have 11 animals: 7 bats and 4 mice. One animal leaves at random, then a second animal leaves at random without replacement. We want to complete the tree diagram and find the probability that a mouse leaves first and then a bat.
2. **Understand the tree diagram:**
- First animal: Bat with probability $\frac{7}{11}$, Mouse with probability $\frac{4}{11}$.
- Second animal after first is Bat: probabilities given as Bat $\frac{6}{10}$ and Mouse $\frac{4}{10}$.
- Second animal after first is Mouse: probabilities missing, need to find.
3. **Calculate missing probabilities:**
If the first animal is a mouse, then 4 mice become 3 mice left, and bats remain 7.
Total animals left: $11 - 1 = 10$.
- Probability second animal is Bat given first is Mouse:
$$P(\text{Bat second} | \text{Mouse first}) = \frac{7}{10}$$
- Probability second animal is Mouse given first is Mouse:
$$P(\text{Mouse second} | \text{Mouse first}) = \frac{3}{10}$$
4. **Calculate the probability that a mouse leaves first and then a bat:**
$$P(\text{Mouse first and Bat second}) = P(\text{Mouse first}) \times P(\text{Bat second} | \text{Mouse first}) = \frac{4}{11} \times \frac{7}{10} = \frac{28}{110} = \frac{14}{55}$$
5. **Summary:**
- Missing probabilities are $\frac{7}{10}$ for Bat and $\frac{3}{10}$ for Mouse after a Mouse leaves first.
- Probability mouse leaves first then bat leaves second is $\frac{14}{55}$.
Final answer: $$\boxed{\frac{14}{55}}$$