Orange Probability 5A2635
1. **Problem Statement:**
We have a color wheel with four colors: red, orange, yellow, and green. The wheel is spun twice, selecting two colors. Define the random variable $X$ as the number of times the color orange appears in the two spins.
2. **Goal:**
Construct the probability distribution of $X$, i.e., find $P(X=0)$, $P(X=1)$, and $P(X=2)$.
3. **Total possible outcomes:**
Since each spin can result in any of the 4 colors independently, the total number of outcomes is:
$$4 \times 4 = 16$$
4. **Possible values of $X$:**
- $X=0$: orange appears zero times.
- $X=1$: orange appears exactly once.
- $X=2$: orange appears twice.
5. **Calculate $P(X=0)$:**
Number of outcomes with no orange in either spin.
Each spin can be red, yellow, or green (3 options), so:
$$3 \times 3 = 9$$
Probability:
$$P(X=0) = \frac{9}{16}$$
6. **Calculate $P(X=1)$:**
Number of outcomes with exactly one orange.
This can happen in two ways:
- First spin orange, second spin not orange: $1 \times 3 = 3$
- First spin not orange, second spin orange: $3 \times 1 = 3$
Total:
$$3 + 3 = 6$$
Probability:
$$P(X=1) = \frac{6}{16} = \frac{3}{8}$$
7. **Calculate $P(X=2)$:**
Number of outcomes with orange in both spins:
$$1 \times 1 = 1$$
Probability:
$$P(X=2) = \frac{1}{16}$$
8. **Summary of the probability distribution:**
| $X$ | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|-----|---|---|---|
| $P(X)$ | $\frac{9}{16}$ | $\frac{6}{16}$ | $\frac{1}{16}$ |
9. **Check sum:**
$$\frac{9}{16} + \frac{6}{16} + \frac{1}{16} = \frac{16}{16} = 1$$
This confirms the distribution is valid.
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{P(X=0) = \frac{9}{16}, \quad P(X=1) = \frac{6}{16}, \quad P(X=2) = \frac{1}{16}}$$