Normal Probabilities
1. **Problem statement:** We have two normal random variables $X \sim N(7,a^2)$ and $Y \sim N(19,a^2)$ with $a>0$.
(a) Find $b$ such that $P(X>b) = P(Y>22)$.
(b) Find approximate value of $P(7 - a < X < 7 + a)$ to two significant figures.
(c) Given $a=3$, find approximate value of $P(Y<22)$ to two significant figures.
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2. **Recall properties of normal distribution:**
- If $Z \sim N(0,1)$ (standard normal), then for any $X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)$, we have $P(X > x) = P\left(Z > \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}\right)$.
- The symmetry and standard normal tables or calculator can be used to find probabilities.
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3. **Part (a): Find $b$ such that $P(X>b) = P(Y>22)$**
- Since $X \sim N(7,a^2)$ and $Y \sim N(19,a^2)$, standardize:
$$P(X>b) = P\left(Z > \frac{b-7}{a}\right)$$
$$P(Y>22) = P\left(Z > \frac{22-19}{a}\right) = P\left(Z > \frac{3}{a}\right)$$
- Set equal:
$$P\left(Z > \frac{b-7}{a}\right) = P\left(Z > \frac{3}{a}\right)$$
- Since $P(Z>z)$ is decreasing in $z$, this implies:
$$\frac{b-7}{a} = \frac{3}{a}$$
- Multiply both sides by $a$ (positive, so inequality direction preserved):
$$b - 7 = 3$$
- Solve for $b$:
$$b = 10$$
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4. **Part (b): Approximate $P(7 - a < X < 7 + a)$**
- Standardize the interval:
$$P(7 - a < X < 7 + a) = P\left(-1 < \frac{X-7}{a} < 1\right) = P(-1 < Z < 1)$$
- From standard normal tables, $P(-1 < Z < 1) \approx 0.68$ (68%)
- Rounded to two significant figures: $0.68$
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5. **Part (c): Given $a=3$, find $P(Y < 22)$**
- Standardize:
$$P(Y < 22) = P\left(Z < \frac{22 - 19}{3}\right) = P(Z < 1)$$
- From standard normal tables, $P(Z < 1) \approx 0.8413$
- Rounded to two significant figures: $0.84$
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**Final answers:**
- (a) $b = 10$
- (b) $P(7 - a < X < 7 + a) \approx 0.68$
- (c) $P(Y < 22) \approx 0.84$