Marble Probability C65A71
1. **Problem statement:**
A box contains 50 marbles: 13 blue, 10 red, and 27 yellow. A marble is taken without replacement. Find:
(i) The probability that the first marble is red, the second is yellow, and the third is blue.
(ii) The probability that either a blue or a yellow marble is picked.
2. **Formulas and rules:**
- Probability of an event = $\frac{\text{favorable outcomes}}{\text{total outcomes}}$.
- When drawing without replacement, the total number of marbles decreases after each draw.
- For multiple events happening in sequence, multiply the probabilities of each event.
- For "either/or" events, use the addition rule: $P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \text{ and } B)$.
3. **Part (i): Probability first red, second yellow, third blue**
- Total marbles initially: 50
- Probability first is red: $\frac{10}{50}$
- After removing one red, marbles left: 49
- Probability second is yellow: $\frac{27}{49}$
- After removing one yellow, marbles left: 48
- Probability third is blue: $\frac{13}{48}$
Multiply these probabilities:
$$
P = \frac{10}{50} \times \frac{27}{49} \times \frac{13}{48}
$$
Simplify step-by-step:
$$
\frac{10}{50} = \frac{1}{5}
$$
So,
$$
P = \frac{1}{5} \times \frac{27}{49} \times \frac{13}{48} = \frac{1 \times 27 \times 13}{5 \times 49 \times 48} = \frac{351}{11760}
$$
Simplify numerator and denominator by 3:
$$
\frac{351}{11760} = \frac{117}{3920}
$$
This fraction cannot be simplified further.
4. **Part (ii): Probability either blue or yellow marble is picked**
- Total marbles: 50
- Number of blue marbles: 13
- Number of yellow marbles: 27
Calculate probability:
$$
P(\text{blue or yellow}) = P(\text{blue}) + P(\text{yellow})
$$
Since blue and yellow are mutually exclusive (a marble cannot be both colors),
$$
P = \frac{13}{50} + \frac{27}{50} = \frac{40}{50} = \frac{4}{5}
$$
**Final answers:**
(i) $\boxed{\frac{117}{3920}}$
(ii) $\boxed{\frac{4}{5}}$