Football Tree
1. **State the problem:** Casey plays two games of football. The probability that Casey scores a goal in each game is 0.3.
2. **Complete the tree diagram probabilities:**
- For the first game:
- Scores: $P(\text{Scores 1st}) = 0.3$
- Does not score: $P(\text{No Score 1st}) = 1 - 0.3 = 0.7$
- For the second game (given the outcome of first):
- If Casey scores in first game:
- Scores: $0.3$
- Does not score: $0.7$
- If Casey does not score in first game:
- Scores: $0.3$
- Does not score: $0.7$
3. **Calculate the probability Casey scores in only one game:**
The possible ways are:
- Scores first game and does not score second game:
$$P(\text{Score 1st and No Score 2nd})=0.3 \times 0.7 = 0.21$$
- Does not score first game and scores second game:
$$P(\text{No Score 1st and Score 2nd})=0.7 \times 0.3 = 0.21$$
4. **Add these probabilities to get the total:**
$$P(\text{scores exactly one game}) = 0.21 + 0.21 = 0.42$$
**Final answer:** The probability that Casey scores in only one of the games is $0.42$.