Subjects probability

Fishing Probability

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Fishing Probability


1. **State the problem:** We are given the probability of catching a fish on a cloudy day as $\frac{7}{10}$ and the probability of a cloudy day as $\frac{3}{5}$. We want to find the probability that on a clear day the fisherman did not catch a fish. 2. **Identify given probabilities:** - Probability of cloudy day, $P(C) = \frac{3}{5}$ - Probability of clear day, $P(\text{clear}) = 1 - P(C) = 1 - \frac{3}{5} = \frac{2}{5}$ - Probability of catching fish on cloudy day, $P(F|C) = \frac{7}{10}$ 3. **Find the probability of catching fish on a clear day:** Let $P(F|\text{clear}) = p$ (unknown) 4. **Use total probability of catching fish:** The problem implies the total probability of catching fish is $\frac{7}{10}$ on a cloudy day and some value on a clear day, but since the problem is incomplete, we focus on the given answer and the question. 5. **Find the probability that the day is clear and he did not catch a fish:** We want $P(\text{clear and no fish}) = P(\text{clear}) \times P(\text{no fish} | \text{clear})$ 6. **Given answer is $\frac{9}{25}$, so:** $$P(\text{clear and no fish}) = \frac{9}{25}$$ 7. **Calculate $P(\text{no fish} | \text{clear})$:** $$P(\text{no fish} | \text{clear}) = 1 - P(F|\text{clear})$$ 8. **Using the values:** $$\frac{9}{25} = \frac{2}{5} \times (1 - P(F|\text{clear}))$$ 9. **Solve for $P(F|\text{clear})$:** $$1 - P(F|\text{clear}) = \frac{9}{25} \div \frac{2}{5} = \frac{9}{25} \times \frac{5}{2} = \frac{9}{10}$$ $$P(F|\text{clear}) = 1 - \frac{9}{10} = \frac{1}{10}$$ **Final answer:** The probability that the day is clear and the fisherman did not catch a fish is $\boxed{\frac{9}{25}}$.