Dice Probability 5E177F
1. **Problem statement:** You roll a fair 6-sided die 17 times. Find the probability of getting exactly 5 even numbers and exactly 3 fives.
2. **Understanding the problem:** Each roll can result in one of three mutually exclusive outcomes relevant to the problem:
- Even number (2, 4, or 6)
- Number 5
- Odd number other than 5 (1 or 3)
3. **Total trials:** 17 rolls.
4. **Events to count:** Exactly 5 even numbers, exactly 3 fives, and the remaining 9 rolls must be odd numbers other than 5.
5. **Probabilities for each category per roll:**
- Probability(even) = 3/6 = 1/2
- Probability(5) = 1/6
- Probability(odd other than 5) = 2/6 = 1/3
6. **Using multinomial probability formula:**
$$P = \frac{17!}{5!3!9!} \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 \times \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^3 \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^9$$
7. **Calculate factorial term:**
$$\frac{17!}{5!3!9!} = 6188$$
8. **Calculate probability term:**
$$\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 = \frac{1}{32}$$
$$\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^3 = \frac{1}{216}$$
$$\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^9 = \frac{1}{19683}$$
9. **Multiply all terms:**
$$P = 6188 \times \frac{1}{32} \times \frac{1}{216} \times \frac{1}{19683}$$
10. **Simplify:**
$$P = \frac{6188}{32 \times 216 \times 19683} = \frac{6188}{136048896} \approx 0.0000455$$
11. **Final answer:** The probability is approximately **0.0000** when rounded to 4 decimal places.
**Note:** The given answer 0.0100 does not match the exact multinomial calculation; the correct probability is much smaller.