Defective Probability Bd274E
1. **Problem:** Calculate the probability that a randomly selected item from the factory is defective given the production proportions and defect rates of machines A, B, and C.
2. **Formula:** Use the law of total probability:
$$P(\text{Defective}) = P(A)P(\text{Defective}|A) + P(B)P(\text{Defective}|B) + P(C)P(\text{Defective}|C)$$
3. **Given data:**
- $P(A) = 0.50$, $P(\text{Defective}|A) = 0.04$
- $P(B) = 0.30$, $P(\text{Defective}|B) = 0.06$
- $P(C) = 0.20$, $P(\text{Defective}|C) = 0.10$
4. **Calculation:**
$$P(\text{Defective}) = (0.50)(0.04) + (0.30)(0.06) + (0.20)(0.10)$$
$$= 0.02 + 0.018 + 0.02$$
$$= 0.058$$
5. **Interpretation:** The probability that a randomly selected item is defective is $0.058$, or 5.8%.