Counter Probability 5Fc4E3
1. **State the problem:**
We have 7 red counters and some blue counters in a bag. The total number of counters is unknown. We know there are more blue counters than red counters.
2. **Given:**
- Number of red counters $= 7$
- Number of blue counters $= b$ (unknown)
- Total counters $= 7 + b$
- Probability of drawing one red and one blue counter in two draws $= \frac{7}{15}$
- Blue counters are more than red counters, so $b > 7$
3. **Formula for probability of one red and one blue in two draws:**
The event "one red and one blue" can happen in two ways:
- First draw red, second draw blue
- First draw blue, second draw red
Probability =
$$\frac{7}{7+b} \times \frac{b}{7+b-1} + \frac{b}{7+b} \times \frac{7}{7+b-1}$$
4. **Simplify the probability expression:**
$$= \frac{7b}{(7+b)(6+b)} + \frac{7b}{(7+b)(6+b)} = \frac{14b}{(7+b)(6+b)}$$
5. **Set the probability equal to given value and solve for $b$:**
$$\frac{14b}{(7+b)(6+b)} = \frac{7}{15}$$
Multiply both sides by $(7+b)(6+b)$:
$$14b = \frac{7}{15} (7+b)(6+b)$$
Multiply both sides by 15:
$$210b = 7 (7+b)(6+b)$$
Divide both sides by 7:
$$30b = (7+b)(6+b)$$
Expand right side:
$$30b = 42 + 7b + 6b + b^2 = 42 + 13b + b^2$$
Bring all terms to one side:
$$0 = 42 + 13b + b^2 - 30b$$
$$0 = b^2 - 17b + 42$$
6. **Solve quadratic equation:**
$$b^2 - 17b + 42 = 0$$
Use quadratic formula:
$$b = \frac{17 \pm \sqrt{17^2 - 4 \times 1 \times 42}}{2} = \frac{17 \pm \sqrt{289 - 168}}{2} = \frac{17 \pm \sqrt{121}}{2} = \frac{17 \pm 11}{2}$$
Two solutions:
- $$b = \frac{17 + 11}{2} = \frac{28}{2} = 14$$
- $$b = \frac{17 - 11}{2} = \frac{6}{2} = 3$$
7. **Check condition $b > 7$:**
Only $b = 14$ satisfies this.
8. **Find total counters:**
$$7 + 14 = 21$$
**Final answer:** The total number of counters in the bag is 21.