Binomial Probability Ed052B
1. **Problem statement:** Given a binomial random variable $X$ with expected value $E(X) = 6$ and variance $Var(X) = 2.4$, find the probability $P(X=5)$.
2. **Recall the formulas for a binomial distribution:**
- Expected value: $$E(X) = np$$
- Variance: $$Var(X) = np(1-p)$$
where $n$ is the number of trials and $p$ is the probability of success in each trial.
3. **Use the given values to find $n$ and $p$:**
From $E(X) = np = 6$ and $Var(X) = np(1-p) = 2.4$.
4. **Express $p$ in terms of $n$:**
$$p = \frac{6}{n}$$
5. **Substitute $p$ into the variance equation:**
$$2.4 = n \times \frac{6}{n} \times \left(1 - \frac{6}{n}\right) = 6 \left(1 - \frac{6}{n}\right)$$
6. **Simplify and solve for $n$:**
$$2.4 = 6 - \frac{36}{n}$$
$$\frac{36}{n} = 6 - 2.4 = 3.6$$
$$n = \frac{36}{3.6} = 10$$
7. **Find $p$:**
$$p = \frac{6}{10} = 0.6$$
8. **Calculate $P(X=5)$ using the binomial probability formula:**
$$P(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$$
9. **Substitute values:**
$$P(X=5) = \binom{10}{5} (0.6)^5 (0.4)^5$$
10. **Calculate the binomial coefficient:**
$$\binom{10}{5} = \frac{10!}{5!5!} = 252$$
11. **Calculate powers:**
$$(0.6)^5 = 0.07776$$
$$(0.4)^5 = 0.01024$$
12. **Calculate the probability:**
$$P(X=5) = 252 \times 0.07776 \times 0.01024 \approx 0.2007$$
**Final answer:**
$$\boxed{P(X=5) \approx 0.2007}$$