Binomial Probability 652D35
1. **Problem statement:** We have a binomial random variable $X \sim \text{Binomial}(n=5, p=0.55)$ and want to find the probability $P(X \leq 2)$, which means the probability that $X$ takes values 0, 1, or 2.
2. **Formula:** The binomial probability mass function is given by
$$
P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}
$$
where $\binom{n}{k}$ is the binomial coefficient, $p$ is the probability of success, and $n$ is the number of trials.
3. **Calculate $P(X \leq 2)$:**
$$
P(X \leq 2) = \sum_{k=0}^2 \binom{5}{k} (0.55)^k (0.45)^{5-k}
$$
4. **Calculate each term:**
- For $k=0$:
$$
\binom{5}{0} (0.55)^0 (0.45)^5 = 1 \times 1 \times 0.45^5 = 0.0185
$$
- For $k=1$:
$$
\binom{5}{1} (0.55)^1 (0.45)^4 = 5 \times 0.55 \times 0.0410 = 0.1128
$$
- For $k=2$:
$$
\binom{5}{2} (0.55)^2 (0.45)^3 = 10 \times 0.3025 \times 0.0911 = 0.2757
$$
5. **Sum the probabilities:**
$$
P(X \leq 2) = 0.0185 + 0.1128 + 0.2757 = 0.407
$$
6. **Interpretation:** There is approximately a 40.7% chance that at most 2 successes occur in 5 trials with success probability 0.55 each.