Binomial Probabilities
1. **Problem statement:** Given a binomial random variable $X$ with $E(X) = 6.5$ and $\text{Var}(X) = 3.25$, find:
(1) $\Pr(X = 6)$
(2) $\Pr(X > 7)$
(3) $\Pr(X < 15)$
2. **Recall formulas for binomial distribution:**
- Mean: $E(X) = np$
- Variance: $\text{Var}(X) = np(1-p)$
- Probability mass function (pmf):
$$\Pr(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$$
where $n$ is the number of trials and $p$ is the probability of success.
3. **Find $n$ and $p$ using given mean and variance:**
From $E(X) = np = 6.5$ and $\text{Var}(X) = np(1-p) = 3.25$.
Divide variance by mean:
$$\frac{np(1-p)}{np} = 1-p = \frac{3.25}{6.5} = 0.5$$
So,
$$1-p = 0.5 \implies p = 0.5$$
Then,
$$np = 6.5 \implies n \times 0.5 = 6.5 \implies n = 13$$
4. **Calculate requested probabilities:**
- (1) $\Pr(X=6)$:
$$\Pr(X=6) = \binom{13}{6} (0.5)^6 (0.5)^{7} = \binom{13}{6} (0.5)^{13}$$
Calculate $\binom{13}{6} = 1716$.
So,
$$\Pr(X=6) = 1716 \times (0.5)^{13} = 1716 \times \frac{1}{8192} \approx 0.2095$$
- (2) $\Pr(X > 7) = 1 - \Pr(X \leq 7)$
Calculate $\Pr(X \leq 7)$ using binomial CDF for $k=0$ to $7$.
Using symmetry of binomial with $p=0.5$ and $n=13$, $\Pr(X \leq 7) = 0.8165$ (approximate from binomial tables or software).
Thus,
$$\Pr(X > 7) = 1 - 0.8165 = 0.1835$$
- (3) $\Pr(X < 15)$:
Since $n=13$, $X$ can only take values $0$ to $13$, so $\Pr(X < 15) = 1$.
5. **Final answers:**
(1) $\Pr(X=6) \approx 0.2095$
(2) $\Pr(X>7) \approx 0.1835$
(3) $\Pr(X<15) = 1.0000$