Bayes Theorem
1. We are given the probability expression $$p(m / a) = \frac{p(a / m) \times p(m)}{p(a)} = \frac{0.112}{0.152} \approx 0.7368$$.
2. This is an application of Bayes' Theorem, which states:
$$p(m / a) = \frac{p(a / m) \times p(m)}{p(a)}$$
where:
- $p(m / a)$ is the probability of $m$ given $a$.
- $p(a / m)$ is the probability of $a$ given $m$.
- $p(m)$ is the probability of $m$.
- $p(a)$ is the probability of $a$.
3. We have been given numerical values:
$$p(a / m) \times p(m) = 0.112$$
and
$$p(a) = 0.152$$
4. Substitute these values into Bayes' formula:
$$p(m / a) = \frac{0.112}{0.152}$$
5. Perform the division:
$$p(m / a) \approx 0.7368$$
6. This means the probability of $m$ given $a$ is approximately 0.7368 or 73.68%.