Risk Return
1. **Problem 1: Calculate the return offered by Tesco’s shares**
The shares were worth £2.51 initially and £1.90 one year later with no dividends paid.
The formula for return is:
$$\text{Return} = \frac{\text{Ending Price} - \text{Beginning Price} + \text{Dividends}}{\text{Beginning Price}}$$
Since no dividends were paid, dividends = 0.
Calculate:
$$\text{Return} = \frac{1.90 - 2.51 + 0}{2.51} = \frac{-0.61}{2.51} \approx -0.2430$$
So, the return is approximately -24.30%.
2. **Problem 2: Calculate the rate of return on Plasticoat shares**
Initial price = €32, dividend = £3.50 (assuming currency consistency), ending price = €40.
Return formula:
$$\text{Return} = \frac{40 - 32 + 3.50}{32} = \frac{11.50}{32} \approx 0.3594$$
So, the return is approximately 35.94%.
3. **Problem 3: Calculate expected return and standard deviation for B. J. Gautney Enterprises' security**
Given probabilities and returns:
| Probability | Return |
|-------------|---------|
| 0.15 | -3% |
| 0.30 | 2% |
| 0.40 | 4% |
| 0.15 | 6% |
**Step 1: Calculate expected return $E(R)$:**
$$E(R) = \sum p_i r_i = 0.15(-0.03) + 0.30(0.02) + 0.40(0.04) + 0.15(0.06)$$
$$= -0.0045 + 0.006 + 0.016 + 0.009 = 0.0265$$
Expected return is 2.65%.
**Step 2: Calculate variance $\sigma^2$:**
$$\sigma^2 = \sum p_i (r_i - E(R))^2$$
Calculate each term:
$$0.15(-0.03 - 0.0265)^2 = 0.15(-0.0565)^2 = 0.15(0.003192) = 0.000479$$
$$0.30(0.02 - 0.0265)^2 = 0.30(-0.0065)^2 = 0.30(0.000042) = 0.000013$$
$$0.40(0.04 - 0.0265)^2 = 0.40(0.0135)^2 = 0.40(0.000182) = 0.000073$$
$$0.15(0.06 - 0.0265)^2 = 0.15(0.0335)^2 = 0.15(0.001122) = 0.000168$$
Sum:
$$0.000479 + 0.000013 + 0.000073 + 0.000168 = 0.000733$$
**Step 3: Calculate standard deviation $\sigma$:**
$$\sigma = \sqrt{0.000733} \approx 0.0271$$
Standard deviation is approximately 2.71%.
**Step 4: Investment decision**
The one-year Treasury bill pays 2.9%, which is slightly higher than the expected return of 2.65% for this security.
Since the security has a lower expected return and some risk (standard deviation 2.71%), Gautney should prefer the risk-free Treasury bills unless other factors justify the risk.
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**Final answers:**
1. Tesco shares return: **-24.30%**
2. Plasticoat shares return: **35.94%**
3. Expected return: **2.65%**, Standard deviation: **2.71%**, Investment recommendation: **Do not invest** (Treasury bills offer better risk-return).