Currency Hedging Edeb27
1. **Problem Statement:**
Elan, a multinational pharmaceutical company, is evaluating an export sale of 1,630 million Indonesian rupiah (Rp). The current spot rate is Rp9450/$, and the 90-day forward rate is Rp9920/$. The company wants to analyze how much it will receive in U.S. dollars in 90 days without hedging under different expected spot rates.
2. **Formula Used:**
To convert rupiah to U.S. dollars, use the formula:
$$\text{USD amount} = \frac{\text{Rupiah amount}}{\text{Exchange rate (Rp/USD)}}$$
3. **Part 1: Expected spot rate in 90 days is Rp9450/$**
Calculate the USD amount:
$$\frac{1,630,000,000}{9,450} = 172,486.77$$
So, Elan will receive **$172,486.77** without a hedge.
4. **Part 2: Expected spot rate in 90 days is Rp10,230/$**
Calculate the USD amount:
$$\frac{1,630,000,000}{10,230} \approx 159,335.29$$
So, Elan will receive **$159,335.29** without a hedge.
5. **Part 3: Expected spot rate in 90 days is Rp9920/$**
Calculate the USD amount:
$$\frac{1,630,000,000}{9,920} \approx 164,112.90$$
So, Elan will receive **$164,112.90** without a hedge.
6. **Summary:**
- If the rupiah stays at Rp9450/$, Elan receives $172,486.77.
- If the rupiah strengthens to Rp10,230/$, Elan receives less: $159,335.29.
- If the rupiah moves to the forward rate Rp9920/$, Elan receives $164,112.90.
This analysis helps Elan decide whether to hedge using the forward contract or take the risk of currency fluctuations.