Expected Utility 5B2232
1. **State the problem:**
Mr. White has $50,000 and can invest it with a 70% chance to grow to $70,000 and a 30% chance to shrink to $20,000.
We want to find his expected utility given his utility function $U(W) = \ln W$.
2. **Formula for expected utility:**
Expected utility $E[U] = p_1 U(W_1) + p_2 U(W_2)$ where $p_i$ are probabilities and $W_i$ are wealth outcomes.
3. **Apply the values:**
- $p_1 = 0.7$, $W_1 = 70000$
- $p_2 = 0.3$, $W_2 = 20000$
4. **Calculate utilities:**
$$U(70000) = \ln 70000$$
$$U(20000) = \ln 20000$$
5. **Calculate expected utility:**
$$E[U] = 0.7 \times \ln 70000 + 0.3 \times \ln 20000$$
6. **Evaluate logarithms (using natural log):**
$$\ln 70000 \approx 11.1563$$
$$\ln 20000 \approx 9.9035$$
7. **Calculate final expected utility:**
$$E[U] = 0.7 \times 11.1563 + 0.3 \times 9.9035 = 7.8094 + 2.9710 = 10.7804$$
**Final answer:**
Mr. White's expected utility from the investment opportunity is approximately $10.78$.