Expected Earnings 89D59B
1. **Problem Statement:** Mr. Chiwetalu must choose among three companies (BetaGold, Ladap, GCV Limited) and their departments (Y or Z) based on expected monthly earnings.
2. **Formula for Expected Value (EV):**
$$EV = \sum (probability \times earning)$$
This helps calculate the average expected earning for each choice.
3. **Calculate EV for BetaGold:**
- Department Y: $$EV = 0.5 \times 50000 + 0.5 \times 25000 = 25000 + 12500 = 37500$$
- Department Z: $$EV = 0.2 \times 80000 + 0.8 \times 40000 = 16000 + 32000 = 48000$$
4. **Calculate EV for Ladap:**
- Department Y: $$EV = 0.7 \times 20000 + 0.3 \times 50000 = 14000 + 15000 = 29000$$
- Department Z: $$EV = 0.9 \times 25000 + 0.1 \times 60000 = 22500 + 6000 = 28500$$
5. **Calculate EV for GCV Limited:**
- Department Y: $$EV = 0.2 \times 25000 + 0.8 \times 30000 = 5000 + 24000 = 29000$$
- Department Z: $$EV = 0.35 \times 28500 + 0.65 \times 65600 = 9975 + 42640 = 52615$$
6. **Decision Tree Analysis:**
- BetaGold Z has EV = 48000
- Ladap Y has EV = 29000
- Ladap Z has EV = 28500
- GCV Y has EV = 29000
- GCV Z has EV = 52615
7. **Advice:** Choose GCV Limited, Department Z, for the highest expected earning of N52615 per month.