Logistic Growth
1. **State the problem:** We have a fish population starting at 400, with a carrying capacity of 7100, and after 1 year the population is 520. We want to find the logistic growth equation $P(t)$ and the time to reach half the carrying capacity (3550).
2. **Formula:** The logistic growth model is given by:
$$P(t) = \frac{M}{1 + Ae^{-kt}}$$
where $M$ is the carrying capacity, $k$ is the growth rate, and $A$ is a constant determined by initial conditions.
3. **Find $A$ using initial population:**
At $t=0$, $P(0) = 400$, so
$$400 = \frac{7100}{1 + A} \implies 1 + A = \frac{7100}{400} = 17.75 \implies A = 16.75$$
4. **Use population at $t=1$ to find $k$:**
At $t=1$, $P(1) = 520$, so
$$520 = \frac{7100}{1 + 16.75 e^{-k}} \implies 1 + 16.75 e^{-k} = \frac{7100}{520} \approx 13.6538$$
$$16.75 e^{-k} = 12.6538 \implies e^{-k} = \frac{12.6538}{16.75} \approx 0.7557$$
Taking natural log:
$$-k = \ln(0.7557) \implies k = -\ln(0.7557) \approx 0.280$$
5. **Write the equation:**
$$P(t) = \frac{7100}{1 + 16.75 e^{-0.280 t}}$$
6. **Find time to reach $P(t) = 3550$:**
Set
$$3550 = \frac{7100}{1 + 16.75 e^{-0.280 t}} \implies 1 + 16.75 e^{-0.280 t} = 2$$
$$16.75 e^{-0.280 t} = 1 \implies e^{-0.280 t} = \frac{1}{16.75} \approx 0.0597$$
Take natural log:
$$-0.280 t = \ln(0.0597) \implies t = -\frac{\ln(0.0597)}{0.280} \approx \frac{2.821}{0.280} \approx 10.07$$
**Final answers:**
- a) $P(t) = \frac{7100}{1 + 16.75 e^{-0.280 t}}$
- b) It will take approximately 10.07 years to reach half the carrying capacity.