Production Change 6E2A53
1. **Problem Statement:**
Suresh's factory production changes over 5 years starting from 2003 with the following pattern:
- Increase by 12% for two consecutive years
- Decrease by 8% in the third year
- Repeat the same pattern for the next three years
We need to find the overall effect on production by 2007.
2. **Formula and Explanation:**
If the initial production is $P_0$, then after an increase of 12%, production becomes $P_1 = P_0 \times (1 + 0.12) = P_0 \times 1.12$.
After another 12% increase, $P_2 = P_1 \times 1.12 = P_0 \times 1.12^2$.
After an 8% decrease, $P_3 = P_2 \times (1 - 0.08) = P_0 \times 1.12^2 \times 0.92$.
3. **Applying the pattern for 5 years:**
The pattern repeats for the next two years:
- Year 4: Increase by 12%: $P_4 = P_3 \times 1.12 = P_0 \times 1.12^3 \times 0.92$
- Year 5: Increase by 12%: $P_5 = P_4 \times 1.12 = P_0 \times 1.12^4 \times 0.92$
- Year 6 (2007): Decrease by 8%: $P_6 = P_5 \times 0.92 = P_0 \times 1.12^4 \times 0.92^2$
4. **Calculate the overall effect:**
$$\text{Overall factor} = 1.12^4 \times 0.92^2$$
Calculate each:
$1.12^4 = 1.12 \times 1.12 \times 1.12 \times 1.12 = 1.5748$ (approx)
$0.92^2 = 0.8464$
Multiply:
$$1.5748 \times 0.8464 = 1.333$$ (approx)
5. **Interpretation:**
The production in 2007 is approximately $1.333$ times the initial production in 2003, meaning an increase of about 33.3%.